Machine learning density models that capture real geological variability

A leading global mining company needed more reliable density estimates for a major undeveloped high-grade iron ore project to support resource modelling and mine planning.

Datarock developed machine learning models integrating drilling, assay, and geophysical data to deliver high-resolution density predictions across the resource.

Challenge
  • Averaging densities across large domains masked local variability.
  • Misalignment between samples, assays, and wireline geophysics introduced noise.
  • High porosity and friable material in RC holes produced unreliable readings and sampling bias.
Solution
  • Two complementary models developed to predict density and porosity across the resource.
  • Primary model integrates assay data, normative mineralogy, material types, geo-domains, and wireline geophysics.
  • Secondary model uses the same inputs minus wireline geophysics, for areas with sparse or no coverage.
  • All sources merged into consistently spaced composites and validated via spatial cross-validation.
Result
  • Density predictions generated across 1,000+ drill holes and hundreds of thousands of metres, spanning multiple deposits.
  • Both models generalised effectively to new drilling data.
  • 3D visualisations confirmed capture of known structural trends.
  • Spatial error maps highlight zones of lower confidence and flag where additional sampling adds value.

What this means for resource modelling

The models deliver density and porosity estimates at 2 m intervals, replacing broad domain averages with high-resolution predictions. The result is consistent, defensible inputs for resource estimation, mine planning, and economic modelling , with built-in guidance on where additional drilling would improve confidence.